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Old 07-31-2017, 11:44 PM
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Read more: No prospect of republic while Queen reigns | The Advocate
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There is no prospect of an Australian republic in the next few years, and a republic in the medium term is unlikely.

While Labor is banging the republic drum and is no doubt honestly portraying its beliefs, in practical terms it is little more than a product differentiation attempt, or, quite possibly, a crack at driving a wedge between republican Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and the monarchist elements of the Coalition.

There would be next to no possibility of a republic referendum being passed with the Queen on the throne.

It is by no means certain a future King Charles would swing it for the republicans either, particularly with the younger royals extremely popular.

Then there is the well established Australian tradition of rejecting referendum questions.

Only eight of 44 have passed since 1901.

Throw into the mix:

Many Australians would take a “not broke, don’t fix” it approach to a republic vote;

the difficulties in agreeing on a model, and how a head of state would be chosen;

the enormous scare campaign potential for opponents; and
the fact most Australians are much more concerned about other issues, including jobs, the economy, health and education.

The weapons which could be used against a republican campaign are almost limitless.
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australia, british commonwealth, elizabeth ii, governor general, julia gillard, monarchy versus republic, parliament, queen elizabeth ii


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